Liveblogging the Election

Hey folks, I’ll be doing the normal liveblogging. There are a couple people I’ll be interested in following.

Patrick Ruffini will be following the returns by county and this is what he says:

I rely solely and purely on county returns. I’ll be analyzing the swing from 2004 in key counties and combining 2008 votes with 2004 turnout models, start to build increasingly accurate models of final results, usually well before the media will call a state. (The only place they’ll have the edge is in blowout states they’ll call based on exits.)

How accurate is this model? In 2004, I knew something was seriously wrong with the exit polls by 7:30. I knew Florida was in the bag by 9 p.m. And I knew Ohio was very likely ours by 10:30 p.m. Contemporaneous news accounts suggested that The Architect came to these conclusions at about the same time. Just sayin’.

I’ll also be following my co-blogger at RightWingNews, John Hawkins. He hasn’t got the ball rolling yet, but there’s nothing to report yet.

Right now, I’m listening to John McCain’s guy Chris Cox put a positive spin on the election. These guys are good at projecting confidence.

Just for a setting: I’m sitting here with my back facing Time’s Square. I’m out and proud wearing red. Besides Chris Cox, I’m quite sure I’m the only one pulling for McCain.

Hmmm….less new voters than in 2004?

Jeff Goldstein reports that it’s all over….Orlando Bloom urges you to vote: “And by “you,” presumably he means either geeky twenty-somethings who like to dress in pirate garb, or gay boys.” Hey! I love Orlando Bloom, as long as he’s wearing a leotard and a blond wig.

Some in the middle are feeling worried….that Obama won’t win. Oh, the horror! Wouldn’t it be loverly, though?

Rachel Lucas reports that Sarah Palin’s father said this:

“Years ago I taught Sarah how to field dress a moose. But tomorrow I want you to see her field dress a donkey.”

Indiana is going Obama in a landslide. Ugh.

Why it’s important to ignore exit polls.

Exit polling interesting:

Shocker: 62% of voters chose the economy as the #1 issue.

67% say Biden is qualified

38% say Palin is qualified

50% say Obama has the experience to be President.

Late deciders break Obama’s way in Ohio and Indiana. McCain’s way in Virginia.

Does Pennsylvania called for Obama mean that it’s over?

Hold your horses, Glynn. I don’t owe you a bottle of wine yet, but you’re welcome to start picking a brand.

A miracle needed in Florida.

Ohio for Obama. With Florida, it’s over.

Well, it’s over. President Obama.

McCain is giving a very good concession speech.

Barack Obama, “Change has come to America.”

Posted in Political Animals
Tags: Election 08